Freddie Mac's Strength Rating May Be Cut by Moody's

(Bloomberg) -- Freddie Mac, the U.S. mortgage company that reported its biggest loss last quarter, may be downgraded by Moody's Investors Service because the damage from loan defaults could be worse than the ratings company expected.

Moody's said it may lower Freddie Mac's financial strength rating from A-, the second-highest grade. The McLean, Virginia- based company's top Aaa senior long-term debt rating and the Prime-1 rating for its commercial paper or short-term IOUs won't be cut, Moody's said.

Chief Executive Officer Richard Syron has attempted to shore up Freddie Mac's finances by selling $6 billion of preferred stock, slicing its dividend in half and reducing its mortgage assets by $30.9 billion to $701.4 billion in the three months to Nov. 30. The government-chartered company may need to take similar steps again, Moody's said.

Freddie Mac ``may experience higher credit losses than Moody's previous expectations,'' Moody's analysts led by Brian L. Harris in New York said in the report late yesterday. ``In its review, Moody's will focus on Freddie Mac's asset quality and the potential that the company may experience an elevated level of credit charges over the near to medium term.''

Freddie Mac, which owns or guarantees one in five U.S. home loans, and larger competitor Fannie Mae are suffering as the worst U.S. housing slump in 27 years increases defaults. More than 100 mortgage lenders were shut, scaled back or sold last year as U.S. home foreclosures rose to the highest on record.

`Credit Stress'

``People may regard the financial strength rating as a signal as to whether the agency is becoming more or less positive on a particular institution, and that may feed through to the debt rating,'' said Simon Adamson, a financial services analyst at CreditSights Inc. in London.

Any downgrade to Freddie Mac's financial strength rating is unlikely to be severe enough to result in a cut to its senior debt ranking, Moody's said.

U.S. home prices may fall 12 percent from their peak through 2010 in ``the toughest housing correction in our lifetimes,'' Fannie Mae Chief Executive Officer Daniel Mudd said this week.

``Credit stress is most likely to occur in the company's guarantee portfolio,'' Moody's said.

The New York-based rating company's financial strength rating measures the likelihood a company will need financial assistance from a third party, such as the government or its shareholders.

 

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U.S. Stock-Index Futures Drop; Capital One, Citigroup Decline

(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock-index futures fell after Capital One Financial Corp. said profit last year missed its projection because of bad loans and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts reduced their share-price estimates for the country's biggest banks and brokerages.

Capital One, the largest independent U.S. credit-card issuer, dropped after saying 2007 profit missed its October projection by about 20 percent. Citigroup Inc., Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch & Co. slipped after Goldman predicted a U.S. recession this year will hurt earnings at financial companies. Exxon Mobil Corp., the nation's largest energy company, declined as oil retreated for the fifth time in six days.

Standard and Poor's 500 Index futures expiring in March lost 5.8 to 1,405.8 as of 9:06 a.m. in New York. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures decreased 40 to 12,705. Nasdaq-100 Index futures fell 13 to 1,954.5.

``The worry is that current earnings estimates are far too optimistic and need to be cut aggressively,'' said Chirin Gill, who helps manage the equivalent of $3 billion at Daiwa SB Investments in London.

Fourth-quarter profit at S&P 500 companies probably fell 8.1 percent from a year ago, the biggest drop since 2001, according to analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Earnings at financial companies probably declined 63 percent, the only drop among 10 industries.

U.S. stocks gained the most in two weeks yesterday after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. said it may invest in municipal bond insurers and Hewlett-Packard Co. predicted earnings will withstand an economic slowdown.

 

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Gold powers to record near $900 as funds active

(Reuters) - Gold surged to a record high just under $900 an ounce on Wednesday, powered by heavy buying by investment funds and helped by rising oil prices and a strong debut for Shanghai gold futures.

Platinum also set a lifetime high on positive fundamentals and tracking gold's rally. Silver touched two-month highs and was not far from its highest level in 27 years.

Spot gold jumped to $891.40 an ounce, surpassing the previous record of $881.10 reached on Tuesday. It was quoted at $883.60/884.40 at 1241 GMT, compared with $878.10/878.90 in New York late on Tuesday.

"This is an extension of the ongoing rally with very strong underlying interest in buying gold across geographic locations," said David Holmes, director of precious metals sales at Dresdner Kleinwort Investment bank.

 

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Li Ka-Shing Rushes Into China Where Bond Angels Fear

(Bloomberg) -- The bond market is telling Li Ka-shing, Asia's richest man, he's sitting on a Chinese property bubble that's bigger than the one deflating in the U.S.

Bonds of China's Agile Property Holdings Ltd. yield 7.17 percentage points more than U.S. Treasuries, double the premium in July and 1.79 percentage points more than the debt of Los Angeles-based KB Home, which has the same credit ratings. Agile, a housing developer in the southern province of Guangdong, and Country Garden Holdings Co., China's most-profitable builder, canceled debt sales in November when borrowing costs climbed.

As China's government attempts to cool property prices with limits on lending, developers are in a land grab. Li, who made his fortune in Hong Kong real estate, Chinese billionaire Xu Rongmao, who owns Shimao Property Holdings Ltd., and hundreds of local developers boosted investment 29 percent in the first eight months of 2007, the National Bureau of Statistics said.

 

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MBIA Cuts Dividend, to Raise $1 Billion After Losses

(Bloomberg) - MBIA Inc., the world's largest bond insurer, sliced its dividend and will raise $1 billion in the sale of notes to boost capital and preserve its AAA credit rating.

The reduction of its quarterly payout to 13 cents a share from 34 cents will save $80 million a year, Armonk, New York- based MBIA said in a statement today.

Fitch Ratings, which gave MBIA until the end of the month to raise money, said the plan may be enough to stave off a downgrade. The loss of MBIA's AAA stamp would jeopardize ratings on $652 billion of bonds and threaten the company's ability to guarantee securities, a business that makes up about 90 percent of revenue. MBIA said today it will report losses of $737 million in the fourth quarter after a slump in the credit quality of the debt it insures.

 

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Blu-ray scores victory

(Fin24) - The International Consumer Electronics Show is turning out to be a celebration party for Blu-ray, the high-definition format that Sony Corp backed, and a wake for a rival movie disc technology pushed by Toshiba Corp.

Just two months ago, Sony CEO Howard Stringer said the fight between Blu-ray and Toshiba's HD-DVD was at a "stalemate", and expressed a wish to travel back in time to avert it.

The impasse was broken on Friday by Warner Bros Entertainment, the last major studio to put out movies in both formats. It announced it was ditching HD-DVD, and from May on, would only publish on Blu-ray and traditional DVD.

The decision puts a strong majority of the major studios, five versus two, in the Blu-ray camp.

Asked on Monday at the show if the Warner announcement decides the format war, Stringer said: "I never put up banners that say 'Mission Accomplished."' But his cheerful delivery belied his words.

By contrast, the main media event scheduled for the show by the North American HD-DVD Promotional Group, which includes Intel and Microsoft, was cancelled because of Warner's defection.
 

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Economic worries mar tech show's glitz

(Reuters) - The world's major technology companies are trying to convince consumers they need an expensive, digitally connected home with the latest high-tech gadgets.

But there's a problem: an increasing number of consumers are having trouble just paying for the roof over the heads, much less a 150-inch television.

Few company executives at the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas this week can avoid questions about the state of the economy, and the combination of a surge in the U.S. jobless rate, oil around $100 and a worsening credit and housing crisis has many on edge.

"The fourth quarter is full of strange, unanswerable situations related to unemployment, related to GDP, related to everything else," Sony Corp (6758.T: Quote, Profile, Research) Chief Executive Howard Stringer said on Monday after a briefing at the show. "So it's too soon for us to be pessimistic, but I read the papers."

 

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