Wachovia says housing downturn nowhere near over

(Reuters) - Wachovia Corp (WB.N: Quote, Profile, Research), which offers adjustable-rate mortgages that let borrowers decide how much to pay each month, believes the U.S. housing downturn is far from over, Chief Risk Officer Don Truslow said.

"It feels like we have a ways to go," Truslow said on a Deutsche Bank Securities Inc conference call. Referring to the nine innings of a baseball game, Truslow said he was "unsure" whether the downturn was in the third, fourth or fifth inning, but "we haven't reached the seventh-inning stretch."

Charlotte, North Carolina-based Wachovia, the fourth-largest U.S. bank, on February 28 said it expected first-half loan losses to exceed 0.75 percent of loans on an annualized basis in 2008, higher than it had forecast two weeks earlier.

 

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Liberty CEO says he was point man in IAC talks

(Reuters) - Liberty Media Chief Executive Greg Maffei said on Wednesday that he was the point man in talks with IAC/InterActiveCorp over disengaging the two companies despite a long-standing relationship between Liberty Chairman John Malone and IAC CEO Barry Diller.

"John Malone considered Barry Diller a friend" after a business partnership of nearly 12 years, Maffei told a Delaware court, where IAC and controlling shareholder Liberty are battling over a proposal to spin off four of IAC's businesses.

"While (Malone) was not entirely happy and increasingly unhappy with the performance at IAC ... because of the friendship, I don't think (he) was willing to tackle some of the issues," Maffei said. "I have been in effect the point person. I don't believe it's a personal matter."

Liberty's board put him in that role despite concerns of a potential conflict between Maffei and Diller. The two had clashed over IAC's purchase of online travel site Expedia several years before.

IAC and Liberty sued each other in January after Diller proposed a spinoff plan that would dilute Liberty's majority voting control over the businesses as separate entities.

The plan followed more than a year of inconclusive talks on a possible swap that would give IAC's HSN shopping network to Liberty in return for Liberty's stake in IAC.

Diller, a former television and film executive, built IAC with Malone's backing over more than a decade. While Liberty owns about 30 percent of IAC shares, it holds 62 percent voting control through a second class of super-voting stock.

 

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Humana, Following WellPoint, Cuts Earnings Forecast

 (Bloomberg) -- Humana Inc., the second-largest seller of Medicare drug plans, followed rival WellPoint Inc. in cutting its 2008 earnings forecast as prescription costs jumped. The insurer fell the most ever in New York trading.

Humana's revised forecast stems from ``updated projections'' for the company's Medicare prescription drug plans, a stand-alone drug benefit sold to Americans age 65 and older. Humana has been racing UnitedHealth Group Inc., the largest seller of Medicare drug plans, to gain more members and has lowered some prices as a result, analysts said.

Humana, of Louisville, Kentucky, fell 26 percent, or $12.14, to $35.24 at 9:37 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. It dropped 24 percent yesterday. The industry selloff that began two days ago continued as WellPoint, UnitedHealth and Aetna Inc. also declined. Investors yesterday cut $24 billion in value from the four biggest U.S. insurers.

``Humana priced their drug plan too low in order to gain market share, and we're seeing the result of that today,'' said Sheryl Skolnick, a CRT Capital Group analyst in Stamford, Connecticut, in a telephone interview. ``They are offering a plan with zero co-pays for a 90-day supply of generics through RightSource, their mail-order. And when you tell seniors something is free, they keep coming back again and again.''

Earnings will range from $4 to $4.25 a share, rather than the $5.35 to $5.55 given on Feb. 4, Humana said in a statement. First-quarter earnings will be 44 cents to 46 cents a share, down from a forecast of 80 cents to 85 cents, the insurer said.

 

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U.S. Stocks Rise, Led by Industrials, on Caterpillar Forecast

(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks gained for a second day, extending the market's biggest rally in five years, after forecasts from Caterpillar Inc. and Bear Stearns Cos. spurred speculation that profits will rebound this year.

Caterpillar, the largest maker of bulldozers, rose the most in three months after saying emerging markets will boost sales. Bear Stearns, the second-biggest underwriter of U.S. mortgage bonds, climbed after Chief Executive Officer Alan Schwartz told CNBC the firm has enough money to weather market fluctuations.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index increased 2.26 points, or 0.2 percent, to 1,322.91 at 10:44 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 49.99, or 0.4 percent, to 12,206.8. The Nasdaq Composite Index added 9.1, or 0.4 percent, to 2,264.86. Four stocks gained for every three that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. Shares in Europe and Asia gained.

Industrial shares contributed the most to the rally after Caterpillar said machinery orders in emerging markets and efforts to improve public works in North America and Europe will boost sales.

 

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Market slips on economic fears, McDonald's gains

(Reuters) - U.S. stocks slipped on Monday as mounting concerns about the economy overshadowed stronger-than-expected same-store sales from McDonald's Corp

 

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Oil Rises to Record $107 as Returns Outpace Financial Markets

(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to a record $107 a barrel in New York as investors purchased futures because the returns have outpaced those of financial markets.

Oil in New York has surged 77 percent over the past year as the S&P 500 and Dow averages dropped. Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased net-long positions, or bets on higher oil prices, in the week ended March 4, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission report showed.

``We're witnessing an ongoing flow of fund buying, which isn't particularly motivated by the particulars of the petroleum market,'' said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. in New York. ``Prices have rallied to such an extent where sellers have backed off. Any time prices go lower the buyers come right back into the market.''

Crude oil for April delivery rose $1.36, or 1.3 percent, to $106.51 a barrel at 10:55 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures surged to $107 a barrel today, the highest since trading began in 1983.

 

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Blackstone Profit Falls 89% on Credit Market Meltdown

(Bloomberg) -- Blackstone Group LP, manager of the world's largest buyout fund, said fourth-quarter profit plunged 89 percent after a ``meltdown'' in the credit markets and warned that getting loans for takeovers will be hard in 2008.

Profit excluding costs tied to its June initial public offering declined to $88 million, or 8 cents a share, from $808.1 million, or 72 cents, a year earlier, the New York-based company said today in a statement. Blackstone fell as much as 5.2 percent in New York trading as earnings missed analysts' estimates.

``Credit market problems persist and if anything have gotten worse,'' Blackstone President Tony James said on a conference call with reporters today. ``We're looking to 2009 before we see much of an improvement.''

Blackstone, which has lost 55 percent of its market value since the IPO, hasn't completed a takeover of more than $2 billion in five months as credit costs doubled and the LBO market shut down. It's struggling to close the $6.6 billion buyout of Alliance Data Systems Corp., the Dallas-based credit- card processor, announced in May.

Earnings were hurt by a decline in fees earned by completing acquisitions and a writedown of its investment in New York-based bond insurer Financial Guaranty Insurance Co. Blackstone invested $2.33 billion of capital in the quarter, down 31 percent from a year earlier.

Net Loss

``Among the risks are that LBO financing conditions continue to worsen and erode Blackstone's ability to earn sufficient private-equity returns,'' Bank of America Corp. analyst Michael Hecht wrote in a March 6 report to investors. Hecht, who is based in New York, cut his fourth-quarter estimate to 11 cents from 25 cents. The average estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was 20 cents a share.

Blackstone fell 55 cents, or 3.7 percent, to $14.03 at 10:17 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. It earlier fell to $13.82, the lowest since the IPO.

Blackstone reported a fourth-quarter net loss of $170 million because of compensation costs tied to the IPO. Revenue rose 17 percent to $3.05 billion. The firm agreed to buy GSO Capital Partners LP for as much as $930 million in January to expand investments in distressed debt and leveraged loans.

``Despite the meltdown'' in credit markets, the company sees deal opportunities, especially in Asia, Chairman Stephen Schwarzman said in the statement.

Assets under management jumped 47 percent to $102.4 billion, driven by real estate, which doubled to $26.1 billion. Money-management assets rose 65 percent to $44.5 billion. Private-equity assets gained 7 percent to $31.8 billion.

Blackstone as Proxy

LBO financing evaporated last July as banks and investors pulled out of the market amid the fallout from rising subprime- mortgage delinquencies. The value of deals announced in the second half of 2007 plunged two-thirds from the first six months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

``We're a proxy for the credit markets,'' Blackstone President Hamilton James said at the Super Returns private equity conference in Munich on Feb 26.

Still, seven of the eight analysts who rate Blackstone recommend clients buy the stock, including Hecht. The other recommendation is a ``hold.''

Other publicly traded companies that make private-equity investments also have suffered. New York-based Fortress Investment Group LLC has fallen 58 percent in the past year, while 3i Group Plc of London has lost 42 percent.

 

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